Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro

Team pages: Deportivo Mixco · Deportivo San Pedro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Deportivo Mixco1.78

Deportivo San Pedro0.83

1X2

59% 24% 17%

Deportivo Mixco Draw Deportivo San Pedro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Mixco 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWDWDL

Deportivo San Pedro 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWDLDLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Mixco 0–2–1 Deportivo San Pedro (3 last)

Deportivo San Pedro2-0Deportivo Mixco
Deportivo San Pedro0-0Deportivo Mixco
Deportivo Mixco2-2Deportivo San Pedro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Mixco 1514 · Deportivo San Pedro 1488

	Deportivo Mixco	Draw	Deportivo San Pedro
Our model	59%	25%	16%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Mixco	Deportivo San Pedro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.90

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50
X	3.60 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.26
2	4.75 → 5.25▲	Pinn 6.71 ★

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:10 +13’	1.60	3.60	4.75
10:12 +4’	1.50▼	3.75▲	5.50▲
11:13 +16’	1.45▼	3.90▲	6.00▲
06:34 +4’	1.50▲	3.80▼	5.50▼
10:03 +5’	1.50	3.75▼	5.50
12:13 +3’	1.48▼	3.90▲	5.75▲
15:19 +12’	1.50▲	3.90	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:10 +6’	1.45	4.06	6.62
11:17 +3’	1.43▼	4.14▲	6.93▲
04:57 +21’	1.42▼	4.16▲	7.22▲
06:45 +29’	1.41▼	4.15▼	7.36▲
15:11 +67’	1.44▲	4.05▼	6.96▼
08:30 +5’	1.43▼	4.13▲	6.98▲
10:02 +6’	1.44▲	4.11▼	6.73▼
15:28 +3’	1.43▼	4.26▲	6.71▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Mixco 0–2–1 Deportivo San Pedro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Mixco
07/11/21 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo San Pedro	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Mixco
03/11/21 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Mixco	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo San Pedro

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antigua GFC	18	11	2	5	31	21	35
2	Guastatoya	19	9	4	6	27	22	31
3	CSD Municipal	18	8	6	4	23	13	30
4	Xelaju	18	8	4	6	30	20	28
5	Deportivo Mixco	18	8	4	6	30	26	28
6	Deportivo San Pedro	18	7	5	6	21	20	26
7	Aurora	18	8	1	9	28	28	25
8	Coban Imperial	18	7	4	7	26	27	25
9	Marquense	18	7	4	7	18	23	25
10	CSD Comunicaciones	18	6	2	10	22	28	20
11	Malacateco	18	5	4	9	18	26	19
12	Suchitepequez	19	2	6	11	20	40	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Mixco	Deportivo San Pedro
CSD Comunicaciones	1-3 L	2-1 W
Xelaju	0-0 D	0-2 L
Guastatoya	3-1 W	1-2 L
CSD Municipal	0-0 D	1-0 W
Coban Imperial	3-1 W	1-1 D
Marquense	1-1 D	0-0 D
Antigua GFC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Malacateco	0-1 L	2-2 D
Aurora	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Mixco (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Mixco

LWLWDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-3	5	7	L
29/10	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	7	11	D
25/10	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
21/10	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
15/10	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
27/09	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
21/09	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	3-1	3-2	4	8	W
09/09	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	6	7	L

Deportivo San Pedro

DDLLWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/10	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
25/10	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-2	13	5	D
18/10	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/10	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/10	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
04/10	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
26/09	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
13/09	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Mixco win (59%). Probabilities: Deportivo Mixco 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo San Pedro 17%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Deportivo Mixco 1.78 · Deportivo San Pedro 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.