Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 08/11, 22:00
Prediction: Coban Imperial vs Xelaju
Team pages: Coban Imperial · Xelaju
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Coban Imperial1.51
Xelaju1.13
1X2
Coban Imperial
Draw
Xelaju
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Coban Imperial
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Xelaju
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coban Imperial
1–2–3
Xelaju
(6 last)
- Xelaju0-0Coban Imperial
- Xelaju2-1Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial1-1Xelaju
- Xelaju3-1Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-1Xelaju
- Xelaju2-0Coban Imperial
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1531 · Xelaju 1536
| Coban Imperial | Draw | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Xelaju: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coban Imperial | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.7 | 4.7 / 1.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 1–2–3 Xelaju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 05/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Xelaju |
| 22/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Coban Imperial |
| 16/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Xelaju |
| 25/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Coban Imperial |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 31 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coban Imperial | Xelaju |
|---|---|---|
| Suchitepequez | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Marquense | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| CSD Municipal | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Antigua GFC | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Malacateco | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Coban Imperial (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Xelaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 29/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 24/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 20/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs Xelaju?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coban Imperial win (45%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 45%, draw 28%, Xelaju 27%.
How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs Xelaju?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Coban Imperial 1.51 · Xelaju 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs Xelaju?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.