Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 07/11, 03:00
Prediction: Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
Team pages: Guastatoya · Suchitepequez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Guastatoya1.68
Suchitepequez0.78
1X2
Guastatoya
Draw
Suchitepequez
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Guastatoya
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Suchitepequez
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guastatoya
1–3–2
Suchitepequez
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez1-1Guastatoya
- Suchitepequez2-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya1-2Suchitepequez
- Guastatoya4-1Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-1Guastatoya
- Guastatoya2-2Suchitepequez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guastatoya 1498 · Suchitepequez 1457
| Guastatoya | Draw | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 27% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guastatoya (rating 1498 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Suchitepequez: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guastatoya | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guastatoya 1–3–2 Suchitepequez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Guastatoya |
| 13/04/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guastatoya |
| 14/02/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 15/11/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 10/09/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Guastatoya |
| 07/05/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Suchitepequez |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 28 |
| 5 | Guastatoya | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 28 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 36 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guastatoya | Suchitepequez |
|---|---|---|
| Coban Imperial | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Marquense | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| CSD Municipal | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Antigua GFC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Malacateco | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Aurora | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Xelaju | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Guastatoya (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guastatoya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 15/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guastatoya win (57%). Probabilities: Guastatoya 57%, draw 27%, Suchitepequez 16%.
How many goals are expected in Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Guastatoya 1.68 · Suchitepequez 0.78), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.