Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 09/11, 01:00
Prediction: Antigua GFC vs Malacateco
Team pages: Antigua GFC · Malacateco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Antigua GFC1.84
Malacateco0.79
1X2
Antigua GFC
Draw
Malacateco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Antigua GFC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Malacateco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Antigua GFC
3–2–1
Malacateco
(6 last)
- Malacateco0-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-1Malacateco
- Malacateco2-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-0Malacateco
- Malacateco3-1Antigua GFC
- Malacateco1-1Antigua GFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antigua GFC 1539 · Malacateco 1449
| Antigua GFC | Draw | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antigua GFC (rating 1539 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Antigua GFC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Antigua GFC | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antigua GFC 3–2–1 Malacateco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Antigua GFC |
| 20/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Malacateco |
| 01/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Antigua GFC |
| 30/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 21/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 10/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 31 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Antigua GFC | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Xelaju | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Guastatoya | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CSD Municipal | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 25/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 20/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Antigua GFC win (61%). Probabilities: Antigua GFC 61%, draw 24%, Malacateco 15%.
How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Antigua GFC 1.84 · Malacateco 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.