Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
Team pages: Suchitepequez · Malacateco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Suchitepequez1.47
Malacateco0.95
1X2
Suchitepequez
Draw
Malacateco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Suchitepequez
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Malacateco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suchitepequez
2–1–3
Malacateco
(6 last)
- Malacateco2-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-1Malacateco
- Suchitepequez3-1Malacateco
- Malacateco1-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez3-1Malacateco
- Malacateco3-0Suchitepequez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suchitepequez 1435 · Malacateco 1482
| Suchitepequez | Draw | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malacateco (rating 1435 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Malacateco: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suchitepequez | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suchitepequez 2–1–3 Malacateco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 18/07/19 World Club Friendlies | Suchitepequez | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Malacateco |
| 04/04/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 04/02/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 01/10/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Malacateco |
| 30/07/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 28 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 25 |
| 6 | Aurora | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 25 |
| 7 | Marquense | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | Deportivo San Pedro | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 19 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 17 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 36 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suchitepequez | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Coban Imperial | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Aurora | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CSD Municipal | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Xelaju | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Antigua GFC | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Guastatoya | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Suchitepequez (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suchitepequez vs Malacateco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suchitepequez win (49%). Probabilities: Suchitepequez 49%, draw 28%, Malacateco 24%.
How many goals are expected in Suchitepequez vs Malacateco?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Suchitepequez 1.47 · Malacateco 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Suchitepequez vs Malacateco?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.