Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 12/11, 23:00
Prediction: Aurora vs Deportivo Mixco
Team pages: Aurora · Deportivo Mixco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Aurora1.69
Deportivo Mixco1.16
1X2
Aurora
Draw
Deportivo Mixco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Mixco
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora
1–2–3
Deportivo Mixco
(6 last)
- Deportivo Mixco3-2Aurora
- Deportivo Mixco4-0Aurora
- Aurora1-1Deportivo Mixco
- Aurora1-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco2-2Aurora
- Aurora0-1Deportivo Mixco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora 1513 · Deportivo Mixco 1537
| Aurora | Draw | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Mixco: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aurora | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 6.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora 1–2–3 Deportivo Mixco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Aurora |
| 19/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Aurora |
| 01/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 30/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 20/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Aurora |
| 19/03/22 Guatemala Primera Division | Aurora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Xelaju | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 31 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aurora | Deportivo Mixco |
|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Malacateco | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Xelaju | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Guastatoya | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Marquense | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aurora (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Mixco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/11 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 25/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora vs Deportivo Mixco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aurora win (49%). Probabilities: Aurora 49%, draw 26%, Deportivo Mixco 25%.
How many goals are expected in Aurora vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Aurora 1.69 · Deportivo Mixco 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aurora vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.