Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 19:00

Prediction: Espanyol vs Levante

Team pages: Espanyol · Levante

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Espanyol1.48

Levante1.09

1X2

45% 29% 26%

Espanyol Draw Levante

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Espanyol 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDDDL

Levante 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Espanyol 3–3–0 Levante (6 last)

Espanyol0-0Levante
Levante1-1Espanyol
Espanyol2-1Levante
Levante1-4Espanyol
Levante1-1Espanyol
Espanyol4-3Levante

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Espanyol 1510 · Levante 1530

	Espanyol	Draw	Levante
Our model	45%	28%	26%
Market	44%	30%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Espanyol: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Espanyol	Levante
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.06	Pinn 2.06
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	3.86 → 3.86	Pinn 3.86

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:22 +1’	2.06	3.27	3.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanyol 3–3–0 Levante

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Spain La Liga	Espanyol	0-0 HT 0-0	Levante
11/01/26 Spain La Liga	Levante	1-1 HT 0-0	Espanyol
04/02/24 Spain Segunda	Espanyol	2-1 HT 1-0	Levante
08/09/23 Spain Segunda	Levante	1-4 HT 1-2	Espanyol
12/03/22 Spain La Liga	Levante	1-1 HT 0-0	Espanyol
11/12/21 Spain La Liga	Espanyol	4-3 HT 1-2	Levante

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Alaves	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	2	1	3
3	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Deportivo A Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	1	1	2	0
20	Getafe	1	0	1	0	3	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Espanyol

LWWDWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Coventry Elite Club Friendlies	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
01/08	Middlesbrough Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-3	3	5	D
29/07	Burnley Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
25/07	Sabadell Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
21/07	Pau Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
18/07	UE Olot Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	9	0	W
23/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
17/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
13/05	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
09/05	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L

Levante

WWWLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CD Castellon Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
05/08	Villarreal Elite Club Friendlies	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
01/08	Albacete Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
26/07	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar World Club Friendlies	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/07	Sheff Utd Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
11/07	Leganes Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
23/05	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
17/05	Mallorca Spain La Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
12/05	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
08/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	15	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Espanyol vs Levante?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Espanyol win (45%). Probabilities: Espanyol 45%, draw 29%, Levante 26%.

How many goals are expected in Espanyol vs Levante?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Espanyol 1.48 · Levante 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Levante?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.