Football · Spain La Liga · 21/08, 21:00
Prediction: Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
Team pages: Real Betis · Real Sociedad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Real Betis1.65
Real Sociedad1.28
1X2
Real Betis
Draw
Real Sociedad
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Betis
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Real Sociedad
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Betis
2–2–2
Real Sociedad
(6 last)
- Real Sociedad2-2Real Betis
- Real Betis3-1Real Sociedad
- Real Betis3-0Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad2-0Real Betis
- Real Betis0-2Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad0-0Real Betis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Betis 1588 · Real Sociedad 1459
| Real Betis | Draw | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1588 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Betis | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 2–2–2 Real Sociedad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Spain La Liga | Real Sociedad | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Real Betis |
| 19/09/25 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| 16/02/25 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Real Sociedad |
| 01/12/24 Spain La Liga | Real Sociedad | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Real Betis |
| 19/05/24 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Real Sociedad |
| 17/12/23 Spain La Liga | Real Sociedad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Betis |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Alaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Betis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bournemouth Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/08 | Arsenal Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Almeria Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Lyon Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Granada Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Rec de Huelva Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Sportfreunde Lotte Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Elche Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Real Sociedad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cologne Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Cologne Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Toulouse Elite Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Wolverhampton Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Racing Santander Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Girona Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Betis win (45%). Probabilities: Real Betis 45%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad 29%.
How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Real Betis 1.65 · Real Sociedad 1.28), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.