Football · Spain La Liga · 25/10, 16:15

Prediction: Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Real Betis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Celta Vigo1.32

Real Betis1.4

1X2

34% 28% 38%

Celta Vigo Draw Real Betis

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Celta Vigo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDDDWD

Real Betis 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo 2–3–1 Real Betis (6 last)

Real Betis1-1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo1-1Real Betis
Celta Vigo3-2Real Betis
Real Betis2-2Celta Vigo
Real Betis2-1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo2-1Real Betis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celta Vigo 1475 · Real Betis 1564

	Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Betis
Our model	34%	28%	38%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1475 vs 1564).
H2H favours Celta Vigo: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Celta Vigo	Real Betis
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.9	3.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.58 ★
2	2.90 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.53

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +2’	2.30	3.30	2.90
19:36 +6’	2.60▲	3.25▼	2.55▼
14:25 +1’	2.70▲	3.30▲	2.55
02:33 +4’	2.70	3.40▲	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:25 +3’	2.60	3.40	2.62
23:24 +6’	2.63▲	3.44▲	2.64▲
00:45 +38’	2.72▲	3.44	2.56▼
20:07 +64’	2.69▼	3.53▲	2.53▼
12:41 +57’	2.61▼	3.56▲	2.60▲
23:58 +24’	2.71▲	3.56	2.51▼
17:50 +5’	2.64▼	3.58▲	2.56▲
01:44 +51’	2.66▲	3.58	2.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Celta Vigo 2–3–1 Real Betis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-1 HT 0-1	Celta Vigo
27/08/25 Spain La Liga	Celta Vigo	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Betis
08/02/25 Spain La Liga	Celta Vigo	3-2 HT 0-2	Real Betis
10/11/24 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-2 HT 1-1	Celta Vigo
12/04/24 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-1 HT 0-0	Celta Vigo
03/01/24 Spain La Liga	Celta Vigo	2-1 HT 1-1	Real Betis

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	34	7	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	6	1	1	18	8	19
3	Real Betis	8	6	1	1	14	9	19
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	19	8	18
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	13	12	14
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	12	15	13
7	CD Alaves	8	3	2	3	12	8	11
8	Deportivo A Coruna	8	2	4	2	12	11	10
9	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	8	6	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	13	13	8
12	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	11	11	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4	10	8
15	Racing Santander	8	2	2	4	13	23	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	8	18	8
17	Levante	7	1	3	3	11	15	6
18	Elche	8	1	3	4	11	17	6
19	Valencia	8	1	2	5	6	15	5
20	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4	13	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Celta Vigo	Real Betis
Getafe	1-1 D	1-0 W
Real Sociedad	0-0 D	1-0 W
Osasuna	1-2 L	5-2 W
Valencia	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Betis (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celta Vigo

DWDLLDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Elche Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
19/09	Racing Santander Spain La Liga	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
13/09	Malaga Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
03/09	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
30/08	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
27/08	Osasuna Spain La Liga	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
22/08	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
23/05	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
17/05	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	0	4	D

Real Betis

LWWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-0	5-2	8	7	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
17/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-5	8	2	L
25/08	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
21/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
23/05	Levante Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	1-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Betis win (38%). Probabilities: Celta Vigo 34%, draw 28%, Real Betis 38%.

How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Celta Vigo 1.32 · Real Betis 1.4), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.