Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 10/07, 22:30

Prediction: Alianza Atletico vs Pirata FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Alianza Atletico1.76
Pirata FC0.68
1X2
63% 23% 14%
Alianza Atletico Draw Pirata FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza Atletico 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLLWWW
Pirata FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Alianza Atletico 1–0 Pirata FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza Atletico 1502 · Pirata FC 1530
Alianza AtleticoDrawPirata FC
Our model62%25%13%
Market64%21%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alianza AtleticoPirata FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.31.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Atletico 100 Pirata FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
18/11/20
Peru Liga 2
Pirata FC1-2
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico

Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Grau 2110 434
2 Pirata FC 2101 433
3 Universitario de Deportes 2011 131

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianza AtleticoPirata FC
Cesar Vallejo 2-0 W 2-1 W
Carlos Manucci 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza Atletico (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza Atletico

LLWDDLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Alianza Lima
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 2-1 63 W
19/06 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-0 24 W
13/06 Carlos Manucci
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 37 W
31/05 FBC Melgar
Peru Liga 1
1-0 1-3 14 L
29/05 CA Tigre
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 0-2 18 L
24/05 FC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
1-1 1-1 73 D
22/05 Macara
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 0-0 14 D
16/05 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Liga 1
1-0 2-0 56 W
11/05 Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-2 24 L
07/05 America de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 0-2 54 L

Pirata FC

WDLWWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 Atletico Grau
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-2 2-3 24 L
13/06 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-0 00 W
01/06 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 35 W
24/05 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 43 L
11/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-1 20 W
03/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 17 W
27/04 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-1 77 W
06/04 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 54 L
28/03 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 24 D
20/09 CD Coopsol
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza Atletico vs Pirata FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Atletico win (63%). Probabilities: Alianza Atletico 63%, draw 23%, Pirata FC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza Atletico vs Pirata FC?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Alianza Atletico 1.76 · Pirata FC 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza Atletico vs Pirata FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.