Prediction: Cienciano vs AD Tarma
| Cienciano | Draw | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours AD Tarma: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cienciano | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cienciano 1–3–2 AD Tarma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 3-2 HT 2-2 | AD Tarma |
| 19/07/25 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cienciano |
| 05/03/25 Copa Sudamericana | AD Tarma | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cienciano |
| 10/02/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 2-2 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 22/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 03/02/24 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cienciano |
Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportivo Binacional | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 4 | Cusco FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cienciano | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Cusco FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sporting Cristal | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Sport Huancayo | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Grau | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cienciano (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cienciano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
AD Tarma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | Alianza Universidad Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Union Minas Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cienciano vs AD Tarma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cienciano win (52%). Probabilities: Cienciano 52%, draw 26%, AD Tarma 22%.
How many goals are expected in Cienciano vs AD Tarma?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Cienciano 1.63 · AD Tarma 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cienciano vs AD Tarma?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.