Prediction: Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC
Expected goals: 2.12 (Sport Boys 1.45 · Comerciantes FC 0.67). The model gives 56% home, 27% draw, 17% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Sport Boys with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Comerciantes FC has piled up 4-6-0 in the same span.
| Sport Boys | Draw | Comerciantes FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Boys | Comerciantes FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 1.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group J
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Union Comercio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | CD Estudiantil CNI | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 11 | D |
| 19/04 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/04 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Comerciantes FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Union Comercio Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Boys win (56%). Probabilities: Sport Boys 56%, draw 27%, Comerciantes FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Sport Boys 1.45 · Comerciantes FC 0.67), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.