Prediction: Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso
| Deportivo Moquegua | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moquegua 1–0–0 Deportivo Garcilaso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Moquegua | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group H
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moquegua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Bentin Tacna Heroica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Moquegua | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Universitario de Deportes | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| CD Los Chankas | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Cienciano | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Juan Pablo II College | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Garcilaso (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moquegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FBC Melgar Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/04 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 14/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Deportivo Garcilaso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 15/06 | Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moquegua win (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moquegua 34%, draw 31%, Deportivo Garcilaso 34%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Deportivo Moquegua 1.01 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

