Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Deportivo Moquegua1.01
Deportivo Garcilaso1.01
1X2
34% 31% 34%
Deportivo Moquegua Draw Deportivo Garcilaso
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Moquegua 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLDLDLWD
Deportivo Garcilaso 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWDWDLW
Head-to-head
Deportivo Moquegua 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Moquegua 1500 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1519
Deportivo MoqueguaDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
Our model33%33%33%
Market35%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.21.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.74.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moquegua 100 Deportivo Garcilaso

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/02/26
Peru Liga 1
Deportivo Moquegua1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso

Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group H

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Moquegua 2110 324
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 2101 553
3 FBC Melgar 2011 231

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar 0-0 D 1-0 W
Universitario de Deportes 0-0 D 1-4 L
CD Los Chankas 0-1 L 1-0 W
Cienciano 1-2 L 1-2 L
Juan Pablo II College 3-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Garcilaso (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Moquegua

WLWLDLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 FBC Melgar
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 510 D
21/06 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 3-2 25 W
29/05 Atletico Grau
Peru Liga 1
0-0 0-1 43 L
23/05 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Liga 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
17/05 CD Los Chankas
Peru Liga 1
0-1 0-1 66 L
09/05 AD Tarma
Peru Liga 1
1-0 2-2 38 D
03/05 Alianza Lima
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-2 04 L
25/04 FC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
1-0 2-1 52 W
20/04 Cienciano
Peru Liga 1
1-0 1-2 12 L
14/04 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Liga 1
0-0 3-0 35 W

Deportivo Garcilaso

LWWWWDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-1 4-1 W
22/06 Cienciano
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-2 111 L
15/06 Cusco FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 56 D
30/05 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Liga 1
2-0 4-1 04 W
25/05 Comerciantes Unidos
Peru Liga 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
17/05 UTC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
0-0 2-0 17 W
11/05 Alianza Atletico
Peru Liga 1
1-0 2-1 74 W
04/05 CD Los Chankas
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-0 45 W
28/04 FBC Melgar
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
23/04 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Liga 1
0-2 1-4 11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moquegua win (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moquegua 34%, draw 31%, Deportivo Garcilaso 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Deportivo Moquegua 1.01 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.