Football · Spain Segunda · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad B

Team pages: AD Ceuta FC · Real Sociedad B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

AD Ceuta FC1.44

Real Sociedad B1.26

1X2

40% 28% 32%

AD Ceuta FC Draw Real Sociedad B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Ceuta FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLLLL

Real Sociedad B 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWDDWL

Head-to-head

AD Ceuta FC 1–1–0 Real Sociedad B (2 last)

AD Ceuta FC0-0Real Sociedad B
Real Sociedad B1-3AD Ceuta FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Ceuta FC	Real Sociedad B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28
X	3.48 → 3.48	Pinn 3.48
2	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +16’	2.28	3.48	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Ceuta FC 1–1–0 Real Sociedad B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Spain Segunda	AD Ceuta FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Sociedad B
21/12/25 Spain Segunda	Real Sociedad B	1-3 HT 1-1	AD Ceuta FC

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	6	5	1	0	12	2	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	15
3	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	13
4	Girona	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
5	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	7	6	10
6	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	10
7	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	7	8	10
8	Almeria	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
9	Oviedo	5	2	2	1	4	1	8
10	Burgos	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
11	Real Sociedad B	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
12	Granada	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
13	Sabadell	5	2	2	1	4	4	8
14	Leganes	5	2	2	1	3	3	8
15	Celta Fortuna	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	5
18	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	6	9	3
20	FC Andorra	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
21	Albacete	6	0	1	5	4	10	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Ceuta FC	Real Sociedad B
Burgos	1-3 L	2-2 D
Mallorca	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Andorra	1-5 L	3-1 W
Albacete	1-0 W	2-1 W
CD Castellon	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Sociedad B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Ceuta FC

WDLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	1-3	7	5	L
05/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
30/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
22/08	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
15/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-1	1-5	2	4	L
30/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
24/05	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	10	W
16/05	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-3	1-4	5	6	L
09/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
03/05	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	2-1	2-1	2	7	W

Real Sociedad B

WDLDLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
12/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	3-0	3-1	2	6	W
05/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/08	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
22/08	Albacete Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
14/08	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
24/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
16/05	Mirandes Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/05	Huesca Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	7	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Ceuta FC win (40%). Probabilities: AD Ceuta FC 40%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad B 32%.

How many goals are expected in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad B?

The model expects 2.7 goals (AD Ceuta FC 1.44 · Real Sociedad B 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad B?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.