Football · Spain Segunda · 27/09, 18:30

Prediction: Eibar vs Las Palmas

Team pages: Eibar · Las Palmas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Eibar1.86

Las Palmas0.97

1X2

57% 25% 18%

Eibar Draw Las Palmas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Eibar 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWW

Las Palmas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Eibar 2–2–2 Las Palmas (6 last)

Eibar3-1Las Palmas
Las Palmas3-1Eibar
Eibar0-1Las Palmas
Las Palmas1-1Eibar
Eibar2-2Las Palmas
Las Palmas0-1Eibar

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (rating 1578 vs 1499).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eibar	Las Palmas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.86

Under 2.251.97

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.99 → 1.99	Pinn 1.99
X	3.17 → 3.17	Pinn 3.17
2	4.28 → 4.28	Pinn 4.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +11’	1.99	3.17	4.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar 2–2–2 Las Palmas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Segunda	Eibar	3-1 HT 3-1	Las Palmas
19/10/25 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	3-1 HT 1-0	Eibar
08/05/23 Spain Segunda	Eibar	0-1 HT 0-0	Las Palmas
06/11/22 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	1-1 HT 1-1	Eibar
15/04/22 Spain Segunda	Eibar	2-2 HT 1-2	Las Palmas
18/12/21 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	0-1 HT 0-1	Eibar

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	6	5	1	0	12	2	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	15
3	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	13
4	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
5	Girona	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
6	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	7	6	10
7	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	10
8	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	7	8	10
9	Almeria	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
10	Burgos	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
11	Real Sociedad B	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
12	Granada	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	5	4	8
14	Leganes	5	2	2	1	3	3	8
15	Celta Fortuna	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	5
18	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	3	8	5
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	6	9	3
20	FC Andorra	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
21	Albacete	6	0	1	5	4	10	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	6	0	1	5	3	16	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eibar

WLWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eldense Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
14/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	4-0	4-0	1	7	W
06/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
30/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
23/08	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	Tenerife Spain Segunda	1-2	1-3	7	1	L
31/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
24/05	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
10/05	Mirandes Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	7	W

Las Palmas

DWLDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-0	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
04/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
29/08	Girona Spain Segunda	0-1	2-5	1	5	L
22/08	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
16/08	Albacete Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
10/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
07/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda	2-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eibar vs Las Palmas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eibar win (57%). Probabilities: Eibar 57%, draw 25%, Las Palmas 18%.

How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Las Palmas?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Eibar 1.86 · Las Palmas 0.97), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Las Palmas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.