Football · Spain Segunda · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: Albacete vs Sabadell

Team pages: Albacete · Sabadell

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Albacete1.11

Sabadell1.07

1X2

36% 31% 34%

Albacete Draw Sabadell

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Albacete 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLLW

Sabadell 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDDWLD

Head-to-head

Albacete 1–3–2 Sabadell (6 last)

Sabadell1-0Albacete
Albacete1-1Sabadell
Sabadell0-0Albacete
Albacete3-0Sabadell
Albacete0-0Sabadell
Sabadell6-1Albacete

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albacete 1419 · Sabadell 1539

	Albacete	Draw	Sabadell
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabadell (rating 1419 vs 1539).
H2H favours Sabadell: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Albacete	Sabadell
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.68
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.50 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.91 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +4’	2.75	3.10	2.50
06:00 +16’	2.55▼	3.20▲	2.63▲
16:12 +5’	2.63▲	3.10▼	2.63
17:08 +13’	2.55▼	3.10	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +51’	2.82	3.12	2.60
18:14 +40’	2.74▼	3.15▲	2.72▲
22:34 +43’	2.59▼	3.15	2.89▲
13:22 +1’	2.68▲	3.15	2.79▼
08:55 +22’	2.71▲	3.07▼	2.82▲
16:15 +2’	2.74▲	3.08▲	2.78▼
17:05 +17’	2.65▼	3.08	2.88▲
19:35 +12’	2.65	3.07▼	2.89▲
22:16 +27’	2.68▲	3.03▼	2.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Albacete 1–3–2 Sabadell

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Sabadell	1-0 HT 0-0	Albacete
16/02/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Albacete	1-1 HT 1-0	Sabadell
26/02/21 Spain Segunda	Sabadell	0-0 HT 0-0	Albacete
17/10/20 Spain Segunda	Albacete	3-0 HT 1-0	Sabadell
07/03/15 Spain Segunda	Albacete	0-0 HT 0-0	Sabadell
05/10/14 Spain Segunda	Sabadell	6-1 HT 2-0	Albacete

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad B	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Albacete	Sabadell
Cordoba	1-2 L	3-2 W
CD Castellon	0-2 L	0-0 D
Oviedo	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sabadell (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albacete

LLLDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Eldense Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	10	8	W
17/10	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
12/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-4	0-5	5	6	L
03/10	Eibar Spain Segunda	1-0	1-3	6	3	L
25/09	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
18/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
12/09	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
22/08	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

Sabadell

DWWLWDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
04/10	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
26/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	Oviedo Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
07/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albacete vs Sabadell?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Albacete win (36%). Probabilities: Albacete 36%, draw 31%, Sabadell 34%.

How many goals are expected in Albacete vs Sabadell?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Albacete 1.11 · Sabadell 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Albacete vs Sabadell?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.