Football · Spain Segunda · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Eldense vs Granada

Team pages: Eldense · Granada

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Eldense1.52

Granada1.27

1X2

42% 28% 31%

Eldense Draw Granada

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Eldense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLWWWL

Granada 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Eldense 0–2 Granada (2 last)

Eldense0-3Granada
Granada3-2Eldense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eldense 1494 · Granada 1549

	Eldense	Draw	Granada
Our model	42%	28%	31%
Market	42%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (rating 1494 vs 1549).
H2H favours Granada: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eldense	Granada
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 09:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.31 ★
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.38
2	2.75 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.12

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +12’	2.40	3.25	2.75
15:23 +2’	2.20▼	3.30▲	3.10▲
07:13 +1’	2.25▲	3.30	2.90▼
09:14 +6’	2.20▼	3.30	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +369’	2.31	3.38	3.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eldense 0–0–2 Granada

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/25 Spain Segunda	Eldense	0-3 HT 0-1	Granada
09/11/24 Spain Segunda	Granada	3-2 HT 2-0	Eldense

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad B	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eldense	Granada
Albacete	0-2 L	1-1 D
Valladolid	3-2 W	2-1 W
Cordoba	2-1 W	3-1 W
Burgos	0-1 L	1-0 W
Eibar	1-2 L	0-3 L
Mallorca	0-0 D	2-0 W
Leganes	0-1 L	2-3 L
Cadiz	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Granada (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eldense

DLDWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	8	L
18/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	8	W
10/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
02/10	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	4-1	6	6	W
27/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
19/09	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
13/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/08	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
22/08	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	2-2	7	5	D

Granada

WWLDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/10	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	0	7	W
04/10	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
26/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-2	2-3	14	10	L
20/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	4	6	L
12/09	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
30/08	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	3	2	W
24/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eldense vs Granada?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eldense win (42%). Probabilities: Eldense 42%, draw 28%, Granada 31%.

How many goals are expected in Eldense vs Granada?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Eldense 1.52 · Granada 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs Granada?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.