Prediction: Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci
Expected goals: 2.49 (Atletico Grau 1.66 · Carlos Manucci 0.83). The model gives 57% home, 25% draw, 18% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Atletico Grau sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while Carlos Manucci arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Atletico Grau and 3 for Carlos Manucci, with 1 draw.
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Carlos Manucci: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Grau | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 4.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Grau 2–1–3 Carlos Manucci
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/24 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 30/03/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 02/07/23 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 14/05/23 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 16/10/22 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 29/05/22 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Grau | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Pirata FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Grau | Carlos Manucci |
|---|---|---|
| Pirata FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Alianza Lima | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Carlos Manucci (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 22/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Carlos Manucci
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Alianza Lima Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Alianza Atletico Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Grau win (57%). Probabilities: Atletico Grau 57%, draw 25%, Carlos Manucci 18%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Atletico Grau 1.66 · Carlos Manucci 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.