Football · Bulgaria Second League · 14/08, 17:45

Prediction: FK Fratria vs Beroe

Team pages: FK Fratria · Beroe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
FK Fratria1.32
Beroe1.1
1X2
41% 29% 30%
FK Fratria Draw Beroe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Fratria 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDWWDLWW
Beroe 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWDLLLWLW
Head-to-head
FK Fratria 0–1–0 Beroe (1 last)
  • FK Fratria3-3Beroe
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Fratria 1532 · Beroe 1499
FK FratriaDrawBeroe
Our model41%30%30%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK FratriaBeroe
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.91.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.32.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Fratria 010 Beroe

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/11/24
Bulgaria Cup
FK Fratria3-3
HT 1-2
Beroe

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3300 829
2 CSKA Sofia II 3210 847
3 Spartak Pleven 3210 637
4 Beroe 3201 426
5 FK Fratria 3201 316
6 Ludogorets Razgrad II 3201 336
7 Chernomorets Burgas 3120 325
8 Vihren Sandanski 3120 545
9 Sportist Svoge 3120 325
10 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 3111 534
11 Montana 3111 764
12 Marek Dupnitsa 3102 233
13 Yantra Gabrovo 3102 463
14 Nesebar 3102 483
15 Rilski Sportist 3012 241
16 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 3012 251
17 FC Hebar Pazardzhik 3003 690
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3003 190

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Fratria

DDLDWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria Second League
2-0 2-0 46 W
01/08 Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 1-0 30 W
25/07 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 63 L
27/06 Farul Constanta
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-1 D
23/05 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgaria Second League
3-0 3-0 W
15/05 Belasitsa
Bulgaria Second League
2-0 3-0 W
11/05 Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 2-2 88 D
04/05 Vihren Sandanski
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 1-2 32 L
26/04 CSKA Sofia II
Bulgaria Second League
2-2 2-2 56 D
16/04 Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 1-1 84 D

Beroe

WDWDLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 2-0 33 W
01/08 Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 66 L
24/07 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 2-1 25 W
12/07 Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-4 L
22/05 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-3 95 L
18/05 Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-1 54 L
14/05 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-1 07 D
10/05 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgaria First League
0-0 1-0 04 W
05/05 Montana
Bulgaria First League
0-2 2-2 55 D
02/05 Slavia Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 3-0 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Fratria vs Beroe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Fratria win (41%). Probabilities: FK Fratria 41%, draw 29%, Beroe 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Fratria vs Beroe?

The model expects 2.42 goals (FK Fratria 1.32 · Beroe 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Fratria vs Beroe?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.