Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 21:00

Prediction: Manauara EC vs Goiatuba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Manauara EC1.24

Goiatuba0.71

1X2

48% 32% 20%

Manauara EC Draw Goiatuba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Manauara EC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Goiatuba 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manauara EC 1–0 Goiatuba (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manauara EC 1585 · Goiatuba 1516

	Manauara EC	Draw	Goiatuba
Our model	48%	32%	20%
Market	48%	31%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manauara EC (rating 1585 vs 1516).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manauara EC	Goiatuba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manauara EC 1–0–0 Goiatuba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Brazil Serie D	Goiatuba	0-1 HT 0-0	Manauara EC

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Capital CF	10	7	2	1	16	6	23
2	Goiatuba	10	5	4	1	13	7	19
3	Ceilandia	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10	9	12
5	Uniao Rondonopolis	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
6	Operario VG	10	1	2	7	7	16	5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manauara EC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Goiatuba Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/06	Independencia Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
21/06	Independencia Brazil Serie D	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
14/06	Sao Raimundo RR Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
31/05	Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
24/05	Manaus Brazil Serie D	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
16/05	Nacional AM Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/05	GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
05/05	GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
25/04	Nacional AM Brazil Serie D	0-1	4-2	6	7	W

Goiatuba

WWDLDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Manauara EC Brazil Serie D	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
27/06	Brasiliense Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
21/06	Brasiliense Brazil Serie D	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
07/06	Operario VG Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-0	11	6	W
30/05	Ceilandia Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
23/05	Capital CF Brazil Serie D	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
16/05	Mixto Brazil Serie D	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
10/05	Uniao Rondonopolis Brazil Serie D	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Uniao Rondonopolis Brazil Serie D	2-1	5-1	3	2	W
25/04	Mixto Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manauara EC vs Goiatuba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manauara EC win (48%). Probabilities: Manauara EC 48%, draw 32%, Goiatuba 20%.

How many goals are expected in Manauara EC vs Goiatuba?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Manauara EC 1.24 · Goiatuba 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Manauara EC vs Goiatuba?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.