Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 21:00

Prediction: Uberlandia vs Serra Branca EC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Uberlandia1.21
Serra Branca EC0.8
1X2
45% 31% 24%
Uberlandia Draw Serra Branca EC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Uberlandia 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDDDLWDW
Serra Branca EC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDLWDDWWL
Head-to-head
Uberlandia 1–0 Serra Branca EC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uberlandia 1552 · Serra Branca EC 1522
UberlandiaDrawSerra Branca EC
Our model44%33%23%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UberlandiaSerra Branca EC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.70.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.15 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uberlandia 100 Serra Branca EC

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Brazil Serie D
Serra Branca EC0-1
HT 0-1
Uberlandia

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Uberlandia 10532 12818
2 Betim FC 10433 12915
3 CRAC 10343 7713
4 Ivinhema 10343 91213
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10334 8912
6 Operario FC MS 10235 9129

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uberlandia

WWWDDDLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Serra Branca EC
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 04 W
27/06 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Serie D
0-1 2-2 15 D
21/06 Rio Branco ES
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 66 W
14/06 ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 68 L
31/05 Ivinhema
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 710 D
24/05 CRAC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
19/05 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 56 D
09/05 Operario FC MS
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-1 W
02/05 Operario FC MS
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 69 W
25/04 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 38 W

Serra Branca EC

DWDLWDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 24 L
28/06 Juazeirense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 12 W
21/06 Juazeirense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 96 W
14/06 CS Sergipe
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 125 D
31/05 Retro FC Brasil
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 38 D
24/05 Decisao
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 38 W
16/05 Treze
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-2 36 L
09/05 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D
02/05 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
0-1 2-1 84 W
25/04 Treze
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uberlandia vs Serra Branca EC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uberlandia win (45%). Probabilities: Uberlandia 45%, draw 31%, Serra Branca EC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Uberlandia vs Serra Branca EC?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Uberlandia 1.21 · Serra Branca EC 0.8), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Uberlandia vs Serra Branca EC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.