Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 21:00

Prediction: Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose PA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Portuguesa RJ1.16
Sao Jose PA0.75
1X2
45% 31% 23%
Portuguesa RJ Draw Sao Jose PA
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Portuguesa RJ 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWDDLDWL
Sao Jose PA 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
DDWDDWWDDW
Head-to-head
Portuguesa RJ 0–1 Sao Jose PA (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portuguesa RJ 1510 · Sao Jose PA 1546
Portuguesa RJDrawSao Jose PA
Our model44%33%22%
Market46%30%24%
Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Portuguesa RJSao Jose PA
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.10.8 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.72.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.5 / 0.45.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portuguesa RJ 001 Sao Jose PA

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Brazil Serie D
Sao Jose PA1-0
HT 1-0
Portuguesa RJ

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blumenau EC 10613 14819
2 Marcilio Dias 10442 9516
3 Sao Joseense 10343 3413
4 Sao Jose PA 10343 6813
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10244 91210
6 Azuriz FC 10235 7119

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portuguesa RJ

WLDWDDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Sao Jose PA
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 39 L
28/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
2-0 3-1 36 W
21/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
06/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-2 19 L
31/05 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-2 126 D
23/05 Madureira RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 05 D
16/05 Pouso Alegre
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-0 07 W
10/05 EC Agua Santa
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-2 67 D
02/05 EC Agua Santa
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 47 L
26/04 Pouso Alegre
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 47 W

Sao Jose PA

DDWDDWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 49 W
27/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 54 D
21/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/06 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 26 W
01/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W
24/05 Marcilio Dias
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 15 D
17/05 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D
10/05 Azuriz FC
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 58 W
03/05 Azuriz FC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 117 D
25/04 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose PA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portuguesa RJ win (45%). Probabilities: Portuguesa RJ 45%, draw 31%, Sao Jose PA 23%.

How many goals are expected in Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose PA?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Portuguesa RJ 1.16 · Sao Jose PA 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose PA?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.