Football · Bulgaria Second League · 15/11, 13:30

Prediction: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II

Team pages: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa · CSKA Sofia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1.12

CSKA Sofia II1.2

1X2

33% 29% 37%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Draw CSKA Sofia II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDDWWL

CSKA Sofia II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1–2–1 CSKA Sofia II (4 last)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0-3CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II1-1Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
CSKA Sofia II2-4Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-1CSKA Sofia II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1533 · CSKA Sofia II 1571

	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	Draw	CSKA Sofia II
Our model	33%	31%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	CSKA Sofia II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.25

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +2’	2.63	3.25	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1–2–1 CSKA Sofia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-3 HT 0-1	CSKA Sofia II
23/11/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	1-1 HT 1-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
11/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	2-4 HT 0-2	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
17/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1-1 HT 1-1	CSKA Sofia II

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
2	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
3	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
4	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
5	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	15	6	5	4	14	13	23
6	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	15	7	2	6	32	25	23
7	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
8	Beroe	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	14	6	4	4	20	14	22
10	Spartak Pleven	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
11	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
12	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
13	Marek Dupnitsa	15	5	3	7	17	21	18
14	Nesebar	15	5	3	7	22	23	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	14	2	4	8	14	27	10
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	15	0	2	13	8	41	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	CSKA Sofia II
Marek Dupnitsa	0-0 D	3-1 W
Yantra Gabrovo	1-0 W	3-3 D
Nesebar	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sportist Svoge	0-0 D	1-0 W
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-0 W	3-1 W
Montana	0-3 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
30/10	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
23/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
10/10	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
20/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
15/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
03/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
30/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	2	5	L

CSKA Sofia II

DLWLWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
23/10	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-3	4	6	D
10/10	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
21/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
13/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	4-0	3	7	W
06/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
03/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	2-1	5-1	3	3	W
29/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
25/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	11	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSKA Sofia II win (37%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 33%, draw 29%, CSKA Sofia II 37%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1.12 · CSKA Sofia II 1.2), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.