Football · Bulgaria Second League · 15/11, 13:30

Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs Spartak Pleven

Team pages: Sportist Svoge · Spartak Pleven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Sportist Svoge1.17

Spartak Pleven0.94

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Sportist Svoge Draw Spartak Pleven

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sportist Svoge 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWLLDD

Spartak Pleven 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Sportist Svoge 3–3–0 Spartak Pleven (6 last)

Spartak Pleven0-0Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge1-1Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven0-1Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge0-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven0-1Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge1-0Spartak Pleven

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1465 · Spartak Pleven 1491

	Sportist Svoge	Draw	Spartak Pleven
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sportist Svoge: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportist Svoge	Spartak Pleven
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.1	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +8’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 3–3–0 Spartak Pleven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	0-0 HT 0-0	Sportist Svoge
27/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	1-1 HT 1-1	Spartak Pleven
22/02/25 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	0-1 HT 0-1	Sportist Svoge
11/08/24 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
20/04/24 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	0-1 HT 0-0	Sportist Svoge
02/10/23 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	1-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
2	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
3	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
4	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
5	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	15	6	5	4	14	13	23
6	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	15	7	2	6	32	25	23
7	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
8	Beroe	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	14	6	4	4	20	14	22
10	Spartak Pleven	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
11	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
12	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
13	Marek Dupnitsa	15	5	3	7	17	21	18
14	Nesebar	15	5	3	7	22	23	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	14	2	4	8	14	27	10
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	15	0	2	13	8	41	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportist Svoge	Spartak Pleven
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-1 D	1-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	1-1 D	0-3 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-3 L	3-2 W
CSKA Sofia II	0-1 L	1-5 L
Vihren Sandanski	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sportist Svoge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportist Svoge

LDLDLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
23/10	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-3	1	3	L
27/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
21/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-2	5	1	W
13/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
07/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
02/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
29/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
23/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Spartak Pleven

LLWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	9	8	D
02/11	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
23/10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
21/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	5	10	W
03/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-5	7	3	L
30/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs Spartak Pleven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportist Svoge win (41%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 41%, draw 30%, Spartak Pleven 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs Spartak Pleven?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Sportist Svoge 1.17 · Spartak Pleven 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs Spartak Pleven?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.