Football · Bulgaria Second League · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Chernomorets Burgas1.29
Beroe0.95
1X2
Chernomorets Burgas
Draw
Beroe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chernomorets Burgas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Beroe
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chernomorets Burgas
1–3
Beroe
(4 last)
- Beroe0-4Chernomorets Burgas
- Beroe6-0Chernomorets Burgas
- Chernomorets Burgas0-5Beroe
- Beroe3-0Chernomorets Burgas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chernomorets Burgas 1511 · Beroe 1502
| Chernomorets Burgas | Draw | Beroe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Beroe: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chernomorets Burgas | Beroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 10 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chernomorets Burgas 1–0–3 Beroe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/25 Club Friendly List | Beroe | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 02/09/20 Europe Friendlies | Beroe | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 04/05/14 Bulgaria First League | Chernomorets Burgas | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Beroe |
| 30/03/14 Bulgaria First League | Beroe | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Pleven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Beroe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Marek Dupnitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Montana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sportist Svoge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Chernomorets Burgas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Vihren Sandanski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Fratria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Yantra Gabrovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Nesebar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chernomorets Burgas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/04 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 09/04 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 18 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Beroe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Botev Plovdiv Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chernomorets Burgas win (44%). Probabilities: Chernomorets Burgas 44%, draw 29%, Beroe 27%.
How many goals are expected in Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Chernomorets Burgas 1.29 · Beroe 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.