Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00

Prediction: Renaissance Zemamra vs FUS Rabat

Expected goals: 2.25 (Renaissance Zemamra 1.42 · FUS Rabat 0.83). The model gives 50% home, 30% draw, 21% away. Over 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Renaissance Zemamra sits at 2-4-4 (W-D-L), while FUS Rabat arrives on a 3-5-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Renaissance Zemamra and 3 for FUS Rabat.

50%1
50% 30% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Renaissance Zemamra 1470 · FUS Rabat 1513
Renaissance ZemamraDrawFUS Rabat
Our model50%30%21%
Market50%30%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.25Renaissance Zemamra 1.42 · FUS Rabat 0.83
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FUS Rabat (rating 1470 vs 1513).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Renaissance ZemamraFUS Rabat
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/67/22%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.42 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.15.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Renaissance Zemamra 303 FUS Rabat

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Morocco GNF 1
FUS Rabat3-2
HT 2-0
Renaissance Zemamra
28/02/25
Morocco GNF 1
FUS Rabat3-0
HT 1-0
Renaissance Zemamra
27/10/24
Morocco GNF 1
Renaissance Zemamra3-1
HT 2-1
FUS Rabat
28/04/24
Morocco GNF 1
FUS Rabat0-2
HT 0-0
Renaissance Zemamra
17/12/23
Morocco GNF 1
Renaissance Zemamra1-2
HT 1-1
FUS Rabat
13/07/21
Morocco GNF 1
Renaissance Zemamra1-0
HT 0-0
FUS Rabat

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2815103 381755
2 FAR Rabat 2813150 431954
3 RSB Berkane 281495 392651
4 Raja Casablanca 281486 351950
5 WAC Casablanca 2813411 382943
6 Difaa El Jadida 289127 272939
7 FUS Rabat 289910 303436
8 Ittihad Tanger 288128 252936
9 KACM Marrakesh 2881010 262534
10 CODM Meknes 288911 202933
11 HUSA Agadir 288812 263632
12 Renaissance Zemamra 288713 273631
13 Olympique Dcheira 287813 283729
14 US Yacoub El Mansour 286814 314226
15 Union de Touarga 2841311 293925
16 OC Safi 2831213 233921

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRenaissance ZemamraFUS Rabat
HUSA Agadir 1-1 D 0-0 D
OC Safi 1-1 D 1-1 D
RSB Berkane 0-1 L 2-1 W
Olympique Dcheira 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Renaissance Zemamra

DDLWLWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 42 D
25/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-1 55 D
21/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 44 L
17/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
2-2 3-4 65 L
12/06 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 53 W
09/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 75 L
03/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-1 64 W
24/05 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 54 L
17/05 Wydad Serghini
Morocco Cup
1-1 D
11/05 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 73 D

FUS Rabat

DWDDDDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 36 W
25/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 0-2 44 L
21/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-2 134 L
18/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 64 W
12/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 511 D
08/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 35 D
04/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
30/05 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-1 08 D
16/05 Rachad Bernoussi
Morocco Cup
4-0 W
11/05 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Renaissance Zemamra vs FUS Rabat?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Renaissance Zemamra win (50%). Probabilities: Renaissance Zemamra 50%, draw 30%, FUS Rabat 21%.

How many goals are expected in Renaissance Zemamra vs FUS Rabat?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Renaissance Zemamra 1.42 · FUS Rabat 0.83), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Renaissance Zemamra vs FUS Rabat?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.