Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00

Prediction: RSB Berkane vs WAC Casablanca

Expected goals: 2.12 (RSB Berkane 1.47 · WAC Casablanca 0.65). The model gives 56% home, 28% draw, 16% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Recent form leaves RSB Berkane with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; WAC Casablanca has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, RSB Berkane won 1 and WAC Casablanca 2, with 3 draws.

56%1
56% 28% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RSB Berkane 1537 · WAC Casablanca 1474
RSB BerkaneDrawWAC Casablanca
Our model56%29%15%
Market57%27%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.12RSB Berkane 1.47 · WAC Casablanca 0.65
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 55%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RSB Berkane (rating 1537 vs 1474).
  • H2H favours WAC Casablanca: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RSB BerkaneWAC Casablanca
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.71.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.11.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.44.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · RSB Berkane 132 WAC Casablanca

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Morocco GNF 1
WAC Casablanca1-0
HT 0-0
RSB Berkane
28/02/25
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane0-0
HT 0-0
WAC Casablanca
26/10/24
Morocco GNF 1
WAC Casablanca0-1
HT 0-0
RSB Berkane
17/02/24
Morocco GNF 1
WAC Casablanca1-0
HT 0-0
RSB Berkane
24/09/23
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane0-0
HT 0-0
WAC Casablanca
07/03/23
Morocco GNF 1
RSB Berkane3-3
HT 1-1
WAC Casablanca

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2815103 381755
2 FAR Rabat 2813150 431954
3 RSB Berkane 281495 392651
4 Raja Casablanca 281486 351950
5 WAC Casablanca 2813411 382943
6 Difaa El Jadida 289127 272939
7 FUS Rabat 289910 303436
8 Ittihad Tanger 288128 252936
9 KACM Marrakesh 2881010 262534
10 CODM Meknes 288911 202933
11 HUSA Agadir 288812 263632
12 Renaissance Zemamra 288713 273631
13 Olympique Dcheira 287813 283729
14 US Yacoub El Mansour 286814 314226
15 Union de Touarga 2841311 293925
16 OC Safi 2831213 233921

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRSB BerkaneWAC Casablanca
FUS Rabat 1-2 L 1-2 L
FAR Rabat 2-2 D 1-2 L
MAS Fes 2-1 W 0-1 L
OC Safi 0-0 D 1-0 W
HUSA Agadir 0-1 L 3-2 W
Ittihad Tanger 1-0 W 1-2 L
Raja Casablanca 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: RSB Berkane (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RSB Berkane

WWWWWLDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 46 L
25/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-2 76 D
21/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
2-1 2-1 28 W
18/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
14/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 41 L
08/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 13 W
03/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 07 W
24/05 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
16/05 WAF Widad Fes
Morocco Cup
3-0 3-1 44 W
10/05 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 110 W

WAC Casablanca

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 1-3 63 L
25/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 46 L
21/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 05 L
18/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 44 L
14/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 64 L
08/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
03/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-2 65 L
23/05 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 3-2 66 W
17/05 Raja Beni Mellal
Morocco Cup
0-0 2-0 75 W
09/05 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RSB Berkane vs WAC Casablanca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RSB Berkane win (56%). Probabilities: RSB Berkane 56%, draw 28%, WAC Casablanca 16%.

How many goals are expected in RSB Berkane vs WAC Casablanca?

The model expects 2.12 goals (RSB Berkane 1.47 · WAC Casablanca 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RSB Berkane vs WAC Casablanca?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.