Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00

Prediction: CODM Meknes vs FAR Rabat

Expected goals: 2.48 (CODM Meknes 0.77 · FAR Rabat 1.72). The model gives 15% home, 26% draw, 59% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-1.

Over its last 10 matches, CODM Meknes sits at 2-3-5 (W-D-L), while FAR Rabat arrives on a 3-6-1 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for CODM Meknes and 2 for FAR Rabat, with 1 draw.

59%2
15% 26% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CODM Meknes 1456 · FAR Rabat 1550
CODM MeknesDrawFAR Rabat
Our model15%26%59%
Market15%26%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.48CODM Meknes 0.77 · FAR Rabat 1.72
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FAR Rabat (rating 1456 vs 1550).
  • H2H favours FAR Rabat: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CODM MeknesFAR Rabat
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.41.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.54.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CODM Meknes 012 FAR Rabat

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
Morocco GNF 1
FAR Rabat3-0
HT 2-0
CODM Meknes
23/01/25
Morocco GNF 1
CODM Meknes2-2
HT 0-1
FAR Rabat
25/09/24
Morocco GNF 1
FAR Rabat4-0
HT 3-0
CODM Meknes

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2815103 381755
2 FAR Rabat 2813150 431954
3 RSB Berkane 281495 392651
4 Raja Casablanca 281486 351950
5 WAC Casablanca 2813411 382943
6 Difaa El Jadida 289127 272939
7 FUS Rabat 289910 303436
8 Ittihad Tanger 288128 252936
9 KACM Marrakesh 2881010 262534
10 CODM Meknes 288911 202933
11 HUSA Agadir 288812 263632
12 Renaissance Zemamra 288713 273631
13 Olympique Dcheira 287813 283729
14 US Yacoub El Mansour 286814 314226
15 Union de Touarga 2841311 293925
16 OC Safi 2831213 233921

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCODM MeknesFAR Rabat
Union de Touarga 0-2 L 2-2 D
Olympique Dcheira 2-1 W 1-1 D
KACM Marrakesh 1-3 L 2-0 W
RSB Berkane 0-1 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FAR Rabat (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CODM Meknes

LWLWDLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 2-2 97 D
25/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 45 D
21/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 57 L
17/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
12/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 63 L
09/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-1 14 D
01/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 54 W
22/05 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 1-3 44 L
17/05 Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Morocco Cup
1-0 2-0 46 W
10/05 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 410 L

FAR Rabat

LDDWDWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 2-2 35 D
25/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-2 16 D
21/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-0 14 W
18/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 42 D
14/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 24 W
09/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
04/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 54 W
30/05 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-1 88 D
24/05 Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
1-1 1-1 88 D
17/05 Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
0-1 0-1 11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CODM Meknes vs FAR Rabat?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FAR Rabat win (59%). Probabilities: CODM Meknes 15%, draw 26%, FAR Rabat 59%.

How many goals are expected in CODM Meknes vs FAR Rabat?

The model expects 2.48 goals (CODM Meknes 0.77 · FAR Rabat 1.72), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CODM Meknes vs FAR Rabat?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.