Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 06/09, 17:00
Prediction: Motherwell (W) vs Rangers (W)
Team pages: Motherwell (W) · Rangers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.07Total
Motherwell (W)1.03
Rangers (W)3.03
1X2
Motherwell (W)
Draw
Rangers (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Motherwell (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Rangers (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motherwell (W)
0–6
Rangers (W)
(6 last)
- Motherwell (W)0-3Rangers (W)
- Rangers (W)2-1Motherwell (W)
- Rangers (W)6-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-8Rangers (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-1Rangers (W)
- Motherwell (W)1-8Rangers (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Motherwell (W) 1538 · Rangers (W) 1597
| Motherwell (W) | Draw | Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (W) (rating 1538 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Rangers (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motherwell (W) | Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.4 | 2.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/11/33% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motherwell (W) 0–0–6 Rangers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rangers (W) |
| 31/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Rangers (W) | 2-1 | Motherwell (W) |
| 04/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Rangers (W) | 6-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 16/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-8 HT 0-4 | Rangers (W) |
| 11/12/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers (W) |
| 09/11/24 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Motherwell (W) | 1-8 HT 1-5 | Rangers (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Glasgow City (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Hearts (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Motherwell (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motherwell (W) | Rangers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Montrose LFC (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Hearts (W) | 0-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Hibernian (W) | 0-7 L | 1-0 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 16 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motherwell (W) vs Rangers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Motherwell (W) 5%, draw 9%, Rangers (W) 86%.
How many goals are expected in Motherwell (W) vs Rangers (W)?
The model expects 4.07 goals (Motherwell (W) 1.03 · Rangers (W) 3.03), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Motherwell (W) vs Rangers (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.