Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 06/09, 14:00
Prediction: Montrose LFC (W) vs Hearts (W)
Team pages: Montrose LFC (W) · Hearts (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
Montrose LFC (W)1.21
Hearts (W)3.21
1X2
Montrose LFC (W)
Draw
Hearts (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Montrose LFC (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Hearts (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montrose LFC (W)
0–6
Hearts (W)
(6 last)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-7Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)7-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Hearts (W)7-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Hearts (W)6-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-3Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)5-0Montrose LFC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montrose LFC (W) 1493 · Hearts (W) 1592
| Montrose LFC (W) | Draw | Hearts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 9% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (W) (rating 1493 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Hearts (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montrose LFC (W) | Hearts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose LFC (W) 0–0–6 Hearts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-7 HT 0-3 | Hearts (W) |
| 12/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 7-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 05/10/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Hearts (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 19/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 20/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Hearts (W) |
| 18/02/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Glasgow City (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Hearts (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Motherwell (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montrose LFC (W) | Hearts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell (W) | 1-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Celtic (W) | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Rangers (W) | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/02 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Hearts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 01/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montrose LFC (W) vs Hearts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hearts (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Montrose LFC (W) 7%, draw 11%, Hearts (W) 82%.
How many goals are expected in Montrose LFC (W) vs Hearts (W)?
The model expects 4.42 goals (Montrose LFC (W) 1.21 · Hearts (W) 3.21), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montrose LFC (W) vs Hearts (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.