Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 06/09, 14:00
Prediction: Partick Thistle (W) vs Celtic (W)
Team pages: Partick Thistle (W) · Celtic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Partick Thistle (W)0.59
Celtic (W)2.35
1X2
Partick Thistle (W)
Draw
Celtic (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Partick Thistle (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Celtic (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partick Thistle (W)
0–1–5
Celtic (W)
(6 last)
- Celtic (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)2-3Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)2-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-7Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)4-2Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-3Celtic (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partick Thistle (W) 1431 · Celtic (W) 1528
| Partick Thistle (W) | Draw | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 17% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 14% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (W) (rating 1431 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partick Thistle (W) | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick Thistle (W) 0–1–5 Celtic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 22/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 23/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 31/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Celtic (W) |
| 12/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 15/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Celtic (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Glasgow City (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Hearts (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Motherwell (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partick Thistle (W) | Celtic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hibernian (W) | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Hearts (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partick Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partick Thistle (W) vs Celtic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Partick Thistle (W) 8%, draw 15%, Celtic (W) 77%.
How many goals are expected in Partick Thistle (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Partick Thistle (W) 0.59 · Celtic (W) 2.35), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Partick Thistle (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.