Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 27/09, 17:10
Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Glasgow City (W)
Team pages: Hearts (W) · Glasgow City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Hearts (W)1.39
Glasgow City (W)1.35
1X2
Hearts (W)
Draw
Glasgow City (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hearts (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Glasgow City (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hearts (W)
1–2–3
Glasgow City (W)
(6 last)
- Hearts (W)0-0Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)0-1Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)0-1Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)5-1Hearts (W)
- Glasgow City (W)2-0Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)0-0Glasgow City (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1577 · Glasgow City (W) 1572
| Hearts (W) | Draw | Glasgow City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts (W) | Glasgow City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.7 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.5 | 2.9 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 1–2–3 Glasgow City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 05/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hearts (W) |
| 21/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 21/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Hearts (W) |
| 18/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hearts (W) |
| 20/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Glasgow City (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Glasgow City (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts (W) | Glasgow City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Spartans (W) | 1-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Aberdeen (W) | 6-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Hibernian (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Celtic (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
Glasgow City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 37%, draw 28%, Glasgow City (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Hearts (W) 1.39 · Glasgow City (W) 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.