Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 27/09, 14:00
Prediction: Aberdeen (W) vs Hibernian (W)
Team pages: Aberdeen (W) · Hibernian (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Aberdeen (W)1.14
Hibernian (W)3.14
1X2
Aberdeen (W)
Draw
Hibernian (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Hibernian (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen (W)
0–6
Hibernian (W)
(6 last)
- Aberdeen (W)0-3Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)5-1Aberdeen (W)
- Hibernian (W)3-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)1-7Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)7-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-7Hibernian (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen (W) 1410 · Hibernian (W) 1594
| Aberdeen (W) | Draw | Hibernian (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (W) (rating 1410 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Hibernian (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen (W) | Hibernian (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen (W) 0–0–6 Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Hibernian (W) |
| 17/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 19/01/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Hibernian (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 03/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 1-7 HT 1-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 18/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 7-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 16/12/23 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-7 HT 0-5 | Hibernian (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Glasgow City (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen (W) | Hibernian (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Hearts (W) | 0-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Motherwell (W) | 2-2 D | 7-0 W |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hibernian (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Aberdeen (W) 6%, draw 9%, Hibernian (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Aberdeen (W) 1.14 · Hibernian (W) 3.14), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen (W) vs Hibernian (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.