Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: Montrose LFC (W) vs Glasgow City (W)

Team pages: Montrose LFC (W) · Glasgow City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.91Total

Montrose LFC (W)1.46

Glasgow City (W)3.46

1X2

6% 8% 85%

Montrose LFC (W) Draw Glasgow City (W)

Markets

Under 5.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-3 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Montrose LFC (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLLLL

Glasgow City (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Montrose LFC (W) 0–6 Glasgow City (W) (6 last)

Montrose LFC (W)1-6Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)5-0Montrose LFC (W)
Glasgow City (W)8-0Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)0-7Glasgow City (W)
Montrose LFC (W)1-5Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)1-0Montrose LFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose LFC (W) 1449 · Glasgow City (W) 1575

	Montrose LFC (W)	Draw	Glasgow City (W)
Our model	12%	14%	75%
Market	2%	4%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 4.91 goals · Bet365 line 5.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1449 vs 1575).
H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montrose LFC (W)	Glasgow City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.9	2.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.2	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

151.00

X26.00

21.01

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.75)1.90

2 (-4.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 5.52.00

Under 5.51.80

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	51.00 → 51.00	Bet365 51.00
X	23.00 → 26.00▲	Bet365 26.00
2	1.01 → 1.01▼	Bet365 1.01

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:58 +62’	51.00	23.00	1.01
20:36 +17’	51.00	26.00▲	1.01▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose LFC (W) 0–0–6 Glasgow City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-6 HT 0-3	Glasgow City (W)
07/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	5-0	Montrose LFC (W)
09/02/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	8-0	Montrose LFC (W)
11/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	0-7 HT 0-1	Glasgow City (W)
11/02/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-5 HT 1-1	Glasgow City (W)
22/11/23 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Montrose LFC (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	6	6	0	0	25	4	18
2	Celtic (W)	6	5	0	1	13	8	15
3	Hearts (W)	6	4	1	1	21	5	13
4	Hibernian (W)	6	4	1	1	20	6	13
5	Glasgow City (W)	6	3	2	1	19	7	11
6	Partick Thistle (W)	6	2	1	3	11	13	7
7	Spartans (W)	6	2	1	3	6	17	7
8	Motherwell (W)	6	1	0	5	3	19	3
9	Aberdeen (W)	6	0	0	6	2	20	0
10	Montrose LFC (W)	6	0	0	6	5	26	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montrose LFC (W)	Glasgow City (W)
Partick Thistle (W)	2-3 L	4-1 W
Hibernian (W)	1-6 L	2-2 D
Hearts (W)	0-7 L	2-2 D
Celtic (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Rangers (W)	1-4 L	6-0 W
Aberdeen (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose LFC (W)

WWLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
20/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-6	3	2	L
06/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
30/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	1	0	L
16/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	2	1	L
17/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	0	1	W
10/05	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
26/04	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	12	0	W
05/04	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	5	W

Glasgow City (W)

DLDWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	4-1	3	0	W
04/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-2	9	2	D
30/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
23/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
16/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
24/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	8	1	W
17/05	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
10/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	2-3	8	2	L
29/04	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose LFC (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Glasgow City (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Montrose LFC (W) 6%, draw 8%, Glasgow City (W) 85%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose LFC (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

The model expects 4.91 goals (Montrose LFC (W) 1.46 · Glasgow City (W) 3.46), with a 58% chance of under 5.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose LFC (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.