Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Partick Thistle (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)
Team pages: Partick Thistle (W) · Montrose LFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Partick Thistle (W)2.25
Montrose LFC (W)1.14
1X2
Partick Thistle (W)
Draw
Montrose LFC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Partick Thistle (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Montrose LFC (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partick Thistle (W)
1–2–3
Montrose LFC (W)
(6 last)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-2Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-2Montrose LFC (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-1Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)2-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)3-3Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partick Thistle (W) 1431 · Montrose LFC (W) 1475
| Partick Thistle (W) | Draw | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montrose LFC (W) (rating 1431 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Montrose LFC (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partick Thistle (W) | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick Thistle (W) 1–2–3 Montrose LFC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 19/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 11/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 16/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 15/12/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 13/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Glasgow City (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partick Thistle (W) | Montrose LFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic (W) | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hibernian (W) | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Hearts (W) | 0-3 L | 0-7 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick Thistle (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partick Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Montrose LFC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partick Thistle (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick Thistle (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Partick Thistle (W) 62%, draw 20%, Montrose LFC (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Partick Thistle (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Partick Thistle (W) 2.25 · Montrose LFC (W) 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Partick Thistle (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.