Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 27/09, 13:00
Prediction: Rangers (W) vs Celtic (W)
Team pages: Rangers (W) · Celtic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Rangers (W)1.94
Celtic (W)1.19
1X2
Rangers (W)
Draw
Celtic (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Celtic (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rangers (W)
4–1–1
Celtic (W)
(6 last)
- Rangers (W)0-1Celtic (W)
- Rangers (W)4-0Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)0-3Rangers (W)
- Rangers (W)3-3Celtic (W)
- Rangers (W)3-2Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)0-2Rangers (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rangers (W) 1575 · Celtic (W) 1550
| Rangers (W) | Draw | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rangers (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers (W) | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.4 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers (W) 4–1–1 Celtic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Scotland FA Cup Women | Rangers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 17/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Rangers (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Celtic (W) |
| 06/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Rangers (W) |
| 01/02/26 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Rangers (W) | 3-3 HT 2-3 | Celtic (W) |
| 14/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Rangers (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 07/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Rangers (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Hibernian (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Glasgow City (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers (W) | Celtic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hearts (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Hibernian (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers (W) vs Celtic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Rangers (W) 53%, draw 25%, Celtic (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Rangers (W) 1.94 · Celtic (W) 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.