Football · Poland II Liga · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Slask Wroclaw II vs Lechia Zielona Góra

Team pages: Slask Wroclaw II · Lechia Zielona Góra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Slask Wroclaw II1.5

Lechia Zielona Góra1.66

1X2

34% 26% 41%

Slask Wroclaw II Draw Lechia Zielona Góra

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Slask Wroclaw II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Lechia Zielona Góra 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDLWW

Head-to-head

Slask Wroclaw II 4–2–0 Lechia Zielona Góra (6 last)

Slask Wroclaw II0-0Lechia Zielona Góra
Lechia Zielona Góra0-1Slask Wroclaw II
Slask Wroclaw II3-1Lechia Zielona Góra
Lechia Zielona Góra0-2Slask Wroclaw II
Slask Wroclaw II2-2Lechia Zielona Góra
Lechia Zielona Góra2-3Slask Wroclaw II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw II 1390 · Lechia Zielona Góra 1494

	Slask Wroclaw II	Draw	Lechia Zielona Góra
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lechia Zielona Góra (rating 1390 vs 1494).
H2H favours Slask Wroclaw II: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slask Wroclaw II	Lechia Zielona Góra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +1’	2.63	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw II 4–2–0 Lechia Zielona Góra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Slask Wroclaw II	0-0 HT 0-0	Lechia Zielona Góra
31/05/25 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	0-1 HT 0-0	Slask Wroclaw II
10/11/24 Poland III Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	3-1 HT 1-1	Lechia Zielona Góra
26/05/24 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	0-2 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw II
04/11/23 Poland III Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	2-2 HT 0-1	Lechia Zielona Góra
27/10/19 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	2-3 HT 1-2	Slask Wroclaw II

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	15	10	3	2	29	17	33
2	Gornik Leczna	15	9	2	4	33	15	29
3	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	15	7	3	5	26	24	24
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
6	Legia Warsaw II	15	7	1	7	30	25	22
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	15	6	4	5	23	20	22
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	15	5	7	3	26	24	22
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	15	6	4	5	24	26	22
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	15	6	4	5	19	22	22
11	Hutnik Krakow	15	6	3	6	24	22	21
12	Avia Swidnik	15	6	2	7	18	22	20
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	15	6	1	8	24	28	19
14	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	15	5	3	7	20	19	18
15	Sokol Kleczew	15	4	6	5	21	30	18
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	15	3	4	8	19	32	13
17	Slask Wroclaw II	15	3	1	11	22	33	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	15	0	6	9	9	25	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slask Wroclaw II	Lechia Zielona Góra
OKS Swit Skolwin	0-3 L	1-4 L
Avia Swidnik	1-2 L	3-1 W
Legia Warsaw II	2-2 D	0-2 L
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-3 L	2-1 W
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-4 L	3-1 W
Znicz Pruszków	2-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lechia Zielona Góra (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slask Wroclaw II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
31/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
23/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	2	3	L
18/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
14/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
10/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	3	3	L
06/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L

Lechia Zielona Góra

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
24/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-3	0-6	12	3	L
18/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
10/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
19/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
11/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
05/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	1-4	10	1	L
29/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	3-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lechia Zielona Góra win (41%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw II 34%, draw 26%, Lechia Zielona Góra 41%.

How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Slask Wroclaw II 1.5 · Lechia Zielona Góra 1.66), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.