Football · Poland II Liga · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Team pages: Chojniczanka Chojnice · Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.82

Zawisza Bydgoszcz1.6

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Chojniczanka Chojnice Draw Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–1–0 Zawisza Bydgoszcz (1 last)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz1-1Chojniczanka Chojnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1541 · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1515

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Draw	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	3.3 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:57 +8’	2.10	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–1–0 Zawisza Bydgoszcz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/26 Poland Cup	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-1 HT 1-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	15	10	3	2	29	17	33
2	Gornik Leczna	15	9	2	4	33	15	29
3	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	15	7	3	5	26	24	24
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
6	Legia Warsaw II	15	7	1	7	30	25	22
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	15	6	4	5	23	20	22
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	15	5	7	3	26	24	22
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	15	6	4	5	24	26	22
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	15	6	4	5	19	22	22
11	Hutnik Krakow	15	6	3	6	24	22	21
12	Avia Swidnik	15	6	2	7	18	22	20
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	15	6	1	8	24	28	19
14	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	15	5	3	7	20	19	18
15	Sokol Kleczew	15	4	6	5	21	30	18
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	15	3	4	8	19	32	13
17	Slask Wroclaw II	15	3	1	11	22	33	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	15	0	6	9	9	25	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Avia Swidnik	1-0 W	4-1 W
Legia Warsaw II	2-3 L	4-1 W
Hutnik Krakow	2-1 W	1-1 D
Gornik Leczna	1-3 L	0-0 D
Olimpia Grudziadz	3-1 W	1-2 L
OKS Swit Skolwin	5-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chojniczanka Chojnice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
02/11	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
24/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-2	2-3	8	8	L
17/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
09/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
04/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
19/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-1	5-1	7	5	W
05/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
29/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	3-1	4-2	5	6	W
18/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-4	12	3	L
11/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
04/10	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
18/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
12/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
04/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	5	7	D
29/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
22/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	4-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chojniczanka Chojnice win (42%). Probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 42%, draw 25%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 33%.

How many goals are expected in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.82 · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.6), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.