Football · Poland II Liga · 15/11, 19:30

Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Stal Stalowa Wola1.5

Olimpia Grudziadz1.63

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Stal Stalowa Wola Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Stalowa Wola 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Olimpia Grudziadz 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWDL

Head-to-head

Stal Stalowa Wola 3–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz (6 last)

Stal Stalowa Wola2-2Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz1-1Stal Stalowa Wola
Olimpia Grudziadz1-3Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola2-0Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz2-0Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola4-2Olimpia Grudziadz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1486 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1520

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stal Stalowa Wola: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +2’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 3–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-2 HT 1-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
25/07/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	1-1 HT 0-0	Stal Stalowa Wola
04/05/24 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	1-3 HT 0-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
22/10/23 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-0 HT 2-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
20/04/19 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-0 HT 1-0	Stal Stalowa Wola
01/10/18 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	4-2 HT 2-0	Olimpia Grudziadz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	15	10	3	2	29	17	33
2	Gornik Leczna	15	9	2	4	33	15	29
3	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	15	7	3	5	26	24	24
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
6	Legia Warsaw II	15	7	1	7	30	25	22
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	15	6	4	5	23	20	22
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	15	5	7	3	26	24	22
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	15	6	4	5	24	26	22
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	15	6	4	5	19	22	22
11	Hutnik Krakow	15	6	3	6	24	22	21
12	Avia Swidnik	15	6	2	7	18	22	20
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	15	6	1	8	24	28	19
14	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	15	5	3	7	20	19	18
15	Sokol Kleczew	15	4	6	5	21	30	18
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	15	3	4	8	19	32	13
17	Slask Wroclaw II	15	3	1	11	22	33	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	15	0	6	9	9	25	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Stalowa Wola	Olimpia Grudziadz
Sokol Kleczew	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-0 W	1-2 L
Slask Wroclaw II	3-2 W	1-0 W
Znicz Pruszków	2-4 L	1-0 W
Resovia Rzeszow	2-0 W	1-0 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-5 L	1-3 L
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3-3 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Stalowa Wola

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
31/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
24/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
10/10	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
04/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-3	2-4	2	5	L
20/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
04/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
29/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	1-2	9	3	L

Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
17/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
12/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
04/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
19/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
11/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
06/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Grudziadz win (40%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 34%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziadz 40%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.5 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.