Football · Poland II Liga · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna

Team pages: Resovia Rzeszow · Gornik Leczna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Resovia Rzeszow1.05

Gornik Leczna1.53

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Resovia Rzeszow Draw Gornik Leczna

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Resovia Rzeszow 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLDLDDL

Gornik Leczna 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWLLWW

Head-to-head

Resovia Rzeszow 2–2–2 Gornik Leczna (6 last)

Gornik Leczna0-0Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow2-3Gornik Leczna
Gornik Leczna3-1Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow1-0Gornik Leczna
Gornik Leczna1-1Resovia Rzeszow
Gornik Leczna0-4Resovia Rzeszow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resovia Rzeszow 1424 · Gornik Leczna 1566

	Resovia Rzeszow	Draw	Gornik Leczna
Our model	25%	28%	47%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Leczna (rating 1424 vs 1566).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resovia Rzeszow	Gornik Leczna
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +10’	3.40	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resovia Rzeszow 2–2–2 Gornik Leczna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Gornik Leczna	0-0	Resovia Rzeszow
30/03/24 Poland I Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	2-3 HT 0-3	Gornik Leczna
18/09/23 Poland I Liga	Gornik Leczna	3-1 HT 3-0	Resovia Rzeszow
24/02/23 Poland I Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	1-0 HT 1-0	Gornik Leczna
06/08/22 Poland I Liga	Gornik Leczna	1-1 HT 0-1	Resovia Rzeszow
25/03/22 Europe Friendlies	Gornik Leczna	0-4 HT 0-1	Resovia Rzeszow

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	14	10	2	2	27	15	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
3	Gornik Leczna	14	8	2	4	31	15	26
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	14	6	4	4	21	17	22
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	14	6	4	4	18	20	22
7	Hutnik Krakow	14	6	3	5	23	20	21
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	14	5	6	3	24	22	21
9	Chojniczanka Chojnice	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
10	Legia Warsaw II	14	6	1	7	28	24	19
11	Stal Stalowa Wola	14	6	1	7	23	26	19
12	Lechia Zielona Góra	14	5	4	5	22	25	19
13	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	14	5	3	6	19	17	18
14	Avia Swidnik	14	5	2	7	16	21	17
15	Sokol Kleczew	14	3	6	5	18	28	15
16	Slask Wroclaw II	14	3	1	10	22	30	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	14	2	4	8	16	32	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	14	0	6	8	9	23	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resovia Rzeszow	Gornik Leczna
Legia Warsaw II	1-2 L	4-1 W
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sokol Kleczew	0-0 D	4-0 W
Stal Stalowa Wola	0-2 L	1-2 L
Lechia Zielona Góra	0-1 L	6-0 W
Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-2 D	3-1 W
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Leczna (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resovia Rzeszow

DLDLLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
24/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
18/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
12/10	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
03/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
20/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
11/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
28/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D

Gornik Leczna

DWWWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
24/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	3-0	6-0	4	3	W
17/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
11/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
04/10	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
18/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
12/09	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	4-1	10	4	W
05/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	4-0	10	4	W
30/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
21/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gornik Leczna win (48%). Probabilities: Resovia Rzeszow 26%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 48%.

How many goals are expected in Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Resovia Rzeszow 1.05 · Gornik Leczna 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.