Football · Poland II Liga · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszków

Team pages: Gornik Leczna · Znicz Pruszków

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Gornik Leczna1.68

Znicz Pruszków1.41

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Gornik Leczna Draw Znicz Pruszków

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gornik Leczna 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWLLW

Znicz Pruszków 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Gornik Leczna 2–3–1 Znicz Pruszków (6 last)

Znicz Pruszków2-2Gornik Leczna
Gornik Leczna1-1Znicz Pruszków
Gornik Leczna1-2Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków2-3Gornik Leczna
Gornik Leczna2-1Znicz Pruszków
Gornik Leczna1-1Znicz Pruszków

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna 1560 · Znicz Pruszków 1576

	Gornik Leczna	Draw	Znicz Pruszków
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gornik Leczna: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gornik Leczna	Znicz Pruszków
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +7’	2.10	3.50	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Leczna 2–3–1 Znicz Pruszków

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Poland I Liga	Znicz Pruszków	2-2 HT 2-1	Gornik Leczna
19/10/25 Poland I Liga	Gornik Leczna	1-1 HT 0-0	Znicz Pruszków
01/03/25 Poland I Liga	Gornik Leczna	1-2 HT 1-0	Znicz Pruszków
18/08/24 Poland I Liga	Znicz Pruszków	2-3 HT 1-1	Gornik Leczna
26/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Gornik Leczna	2-1 HT 1-0	Znicz Pruszków
17/03/24 Poland I Liga	Gornik Leczna	1-1 HT 1-0	Znicz Pruszków

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gornik Leczna	Znicz Pruszków
Lechia Zielona Góra	6-0 W	3-1 W
Stal Stalowa Wola	1-2 L	4-2 W
GKS Tychy 71	0-3 L	1-1 D
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0-0 D	1-0 W
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Znicz Pruszków (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gornik Leczna

WDWWWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	3-0	6-0	4	3	W
17/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
11/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
04/10	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
18/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
12/09	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	4-1	10	4	W
05/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	4-0	10	4	W
30/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
21/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
14/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	3-0	5-2	4	3	W

Znicz Pruszków

LDWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	0	8	W
18/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
04/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
19/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
11/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
06/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	4-2	4	8	W
29/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-1	3-2	11	2	W
22/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
16/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszków?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna win (43%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna 43%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszków 31%.

How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Gornik Leczna 1.68 · Znicz Pruszków 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.