Football · Poland II Liga · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: GKS Tychy 71 vs Lechia Zielona Góra

Team pages: GKS Tychy 71 · Lechia Zielona Góra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

GKS Tychy 711.8

Lechia Zielona Góra0.86

1X2

59% 24% 17%

GKS Tychy 71 Draw Lechia Zielona Góra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

GKS Tychy 71 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDWWWD

Lechia Zielona Góra 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWLDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GKS Tychy 71 1575 · Lechia Zielona Góra 1452

	GKS Tychy 71	Draw	Lechia Zielona Góra
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Tychy 71 (rating 1575 vs 1452).
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GKS Tychy 71	Lechia Zielona Góra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.9	2.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +6’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GKS Tychy 71	Lechia Zielona Góra
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-0 D	0-0 D
Legia Warsaw II	2-1 W	0-2 L
Gornik Leczna	3-0 W	0-6 L
Hutnik Krakow	2-0 W	1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-0 D	3-1 W
Znicz Pruszków	1-1 D	1-3 L
Avia Swidnik	1-0 W	3-1 W
OKS Swit Skolwin	1-1 D	1-4 L
Resovia Rzeszow	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Tychy 71 (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GKS Tychy 71

DWDWDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
11/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
03/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
20/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
11/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
06/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
30/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
15/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	9	4	D

Lechia Zielona Góra

LDWLWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-3	0-6	12	3	L
18/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
10/10	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
19/09	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
11/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
05/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	1-4	10	1	L
29/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
23/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
16/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GKS Tychy 71 vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GKS Tychy 71 win (59%). Probabilities: GKS Tychy 71 59%, draw 24%, Lechia Zielona Góra 17%.

How many goals are expected in GKS Tychy 71 vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

The model expects 2.66 goals (GKS Tychy 71 1.8 · Lechia Zielona Góra 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GKS Tychy 71 vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.