Football · Poland II Liga · 30/10, 19:30

Prediction: Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Sandecja Nowy Sacz · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.57

Olimpia Grudziadz1.24

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Sandecja Nowy Sacz Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLDWL

Olimpia Grudziadz 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLWWD

Head-to-head

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2–1–3 Olimpia Grudziadz (6 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz1-2Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-3Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz1-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-0Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz3-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Olimpia Grudziadz0-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1497 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1539

	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	45%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1497 vs 1539).
H2H favours Olimpia Grudziadz: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +8’	2.00	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2–1–3 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Poland League II Play-Offs	Olimpia Grudziadz	1-2 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
17/05/26 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-3 HT 0-3	Olimpia Grudziadz
02/11/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	1-0 HT 1-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
18/11/23 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-0 HT 1-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
22/07/23 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	3-1 HT 2-1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
25/07/20 Poland I Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	0-0 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Olimpia Grudziadz
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4-3 W	2-1 W
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 D	2-1 W
GKS Tychy 71	0-0 D	1-1 D
Slask Wroclaw II	4-2 W	1-0 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-2 L	1-3 L
Resovia Rzeszow	3-0 W	1-0 W
OKS Swit Skolwin	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sandecja Nowy Sacz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

WDWLWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
18/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	4-3	6	3	W
09/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
03/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
20/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	4-2	5	3	W
05/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
28/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
21/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
15/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W

Olimpia Grudziadz

DWWLWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
12/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
04/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
19/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
11/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
06/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (44%). Probabilities: Sandecja Nowy Sacz 44%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziadz 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.57 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.