Football · Poland II Liga · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Legia Warsaw II vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Legia Warsaw II · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Legia Warsaw II1.7

Resovia Rzeszow1.35

1X2

45% 26% 30%

Legia Warsaw II Draw Resovia Rzeszow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Legia Warsaw II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWDLW

Resovia Rzeszow 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLDLDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Legia Warsaw II 1505 · Resovia Rzeszow 1431

	Legia Warsaw II	Draw	Resovia Rzeszow
Our model	45%	26%	30%
Market	45%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw II (rating 1505 vs 1431).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Legia Warsaw II	Resovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:17 +4’	2.00	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	27	12	32
2	GKS Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	19	7	27
3	Gornik Leczna	13	7	2	4	28	15	23
4	Olimpia Grudziadz	13	6	4	3	17	18	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22	20	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	24	20	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	22	24	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	13	5	3	5	17	14	18
10	Hutnik Krakow	13	5	3	5	20	18	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	23	23	18
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
13	Legia Warsaw II	13	5	1	7	26	23	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
15	Sokol Kleczew	13	2	6	5	16	27	12
16	Slask Wroclaw II	13	3	1	9	22	28	10
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	13	2	3	8	14	30	9
18	Resovia Rzeszow	13	0	6	7	8	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Legia Warsaw II	Resovia Rzeszow
Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-2 W	2-2 D
GKS Tychy 71	1-2 L	2-2 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	2-0 W	0-1 L
Podhale Nowy Targ	3-0 W	1-1 D
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sokol Kleczew	6-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Legia Warsaw II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Legia Warsaw II

LWLLLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-2	6	8	W
17/10	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
14/10	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
10/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
29/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
23/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	2-1	6-1	6	2	W
16/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	6	2	L

Resovia Rzeszow

DDLDLLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
18/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
12/10	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
03/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
20/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
11/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
28/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Legia Warsaw II vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Legia Warsaw II win (45%). Probabilities: Legia Warsaw II 45%, draw 26%, Resovia Rzeszow 30%.

How many goals are expected in Legia Warsaw II vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Legia Warsaw II 1.7 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Legia Warsaw II vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.