Football · Poland II Liga · 05/09, 12:00

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Team pages: Podhale Nowy Targ · Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Podhale Nowy Targ1.57

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.64

1X2

35% 26% 38%

Podhale Nowy Targ Draw Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Podhale Nowy Targ 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLLDW

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWLWDW

Head-to-head

Podhale Nowy Targ 1–2–2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz (5 last)

Sandecja Nowy Sacz0-0Podhale Nowy Targ
Podhale Nowy Targ1-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz2-1Podhale Nowy Targ
Podhale Nowy Targ2-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz4-0Podhale Nowy Targ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1539 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1522

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Draw	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	35%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandecja Nowy Sacz: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:33 +15’	2.55	3.40	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 1–2–2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-0 HT 0-0	Podhale Nowy Targ
18/10/25 Poland II Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	1-1 HT 1-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
26/04/25 Poland III Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-1 HT 1-0	Podhale Nowy Targ
29/09/24 Poland III Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	2-1 HT 0-1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
22/01/21 Europe Friendlies	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	4-0 HT 1-0	Podhale Nowy Targ

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	6	4	2	0	13	4	14
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
3	Znicz Pruszków	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	GKS Tychy 71	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	6	3	2	1	8	4	11
6	Gornik Leczna	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	6	2	3	1	14	8	9
8	Avia Swidnik	6	3	0	3	10	12	9
9	Podhale Nowy Targ	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
11	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	6	2	1	3	8	8	7
12	Chojniczanka Chojnice	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	Legia Warsaw II	6	2	0	4	13	11	6
14	Stal Stalowa Wola	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
15	Slask Wroclaw II	6	2	0	4	11	12	6
16	Sokol Kleczew	6	1	3	2	7	14	6
17	Resovia Rzeszow	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	6	0	2	4	4	14	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podhale Nowy Targ	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Olimpia Grudziadz	3-1 W	1-3 L
Resovia Rzeszow	1-1 D	3-0 W
Gornik Leczna	2-5 L	1-1 D
Hutnik Krakow	2-5 L	0-0 D
Sokol Kleczew	0-0 D	5-2 W
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-2 L	1-3 L
Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandecja Nowy Sacz (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Podhale Nowy Targ

WLDLWDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
22/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
14/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-3	2-5	4	3	L
08/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-5	4	9	L
01/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	9	6	W
30/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
23/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
17/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
09/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

LWWLDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
21/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
15/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	11	0	L
02/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	1	8	W
25/07	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
06/06	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
30/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
23/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	5-2	5	5	W
17/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-3	1-3	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (38%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 35%, draw 26%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 38%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 1.57 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.