Football · Poland II Liga · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Chojniczanka Chojnice · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.83

Resovia Rzeszow1.08

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Chojniczanka Chojnice Draw Resovia Rzeszow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLWWD

Resovia Rzeszow 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLLDDL

Head-to-head

Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–1–3 Resovia Rzeszow (6 last)

Chojniczanka Chojnice2-0Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow1-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-1Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow1-0Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-3Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow3-1Chojniczanka Chojnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1500 · Resovia Rzeszow 1452

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Draw	Resovia Rzeszow
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chojniczanka Chojnice (rating 1500 vs 1452).
H2H favours Resovia Rzeszow: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Resovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	3.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.70

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:06 +7’	1.65	3.70	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–1–3 Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-0 HT 1-0	Resovia Rzeszow
27/07/25 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	1-1 HT 1-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice
22/11/24 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-1 HT 1-0	Resovia Rzeszow
26/07/24 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	1-0 HT 1-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice
27/09/23 Poland Cup	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-3 HT 0-2	Resovia Rzeszow
14/05/23 Poland I Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	3-1 HT 3-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	6	4	2	0	13	4	14
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
3	Znicz Pruszków	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	GKS Tychy 71	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	6	3	2	1	8	4	11
6	Gornik Leczna	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	6	2	3	1	14	8	9
8	Avia Swidnik	6	3	0	3	10	12	9
9	Podhale Nowy Targ	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
11	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	6	2	1	3	8	8	7
12	Chojniczanka Chojnice	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	Legia Warsaw II	6	2	0	4	13	11	6
14	Stal Stalowa Wola	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
15	Slask Wroclaw II	6	2	0	4	11	12	6
16	Sokol Kleczew	6	1	3	2	7	14	6
17	Resovia Rzeszow	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	6	0	2	4	4	14	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Resovia Rzeszow
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-0 W	2-2 D
Slask Wroclaw II	2-1 W	1-5 L
Znicz Pruszków	1-4 L	0-1 L
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-3 L	0-3 L
GKS Tychy 71	0-1 L	2-2 D
Unia Skierniewice	3-2 W	1-2 L
Podhale Nowy Targ	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chojniczanka Chojnice

LWWWLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
15/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	6	8	W
09/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
02/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	7	8	L
26/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
22/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-1	3-2	9	8	W
16/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	8	4	W
09/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	2-3	6	6	L

Resovia Rzeszow

LDDDLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
01/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-3	1-5	7	1	L
24/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
30/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	8	9	D
23/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	7	12	D
15/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
10/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chojniczanka Chojnice win (54%). Probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 54%, draw 25%, Resovia Rzeszow 21%.

How many goals are expected in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.83 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.