Football · Poland II Liga · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: OKS Swit Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Team pages: OKS Swit Skolwin · Chojniczanka Chojnice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

OKS Swit Skolwin1.42

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.78

1X2

30% 25% 45%

OKS Swit Skolwin Draw Chojniczanka Chojnice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

OKS Swit Skolwin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLDDW

Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWWDD

Head-to-head

OKS Swit Skolwin 0–3–3 Chojniczanka Chojnice (6 last)

Chojniczanka Chojnice2-1OKS Swit Skolwin
Chojniczanka Chojnice3-1OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin2-2Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice5-3OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin1-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice1-1OKS Swit Skolwin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OKS Swit Skolwin 1445 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1509

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Draw	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Our model	30%	25%	45%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chojniczanka Chojnice (rating 1445 vs 1509).
H2H favours Chojniczanka Chojnice: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Chojniczanka Chojnice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:30 +4’	3.00	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OKS Swit Skolwin 0–3–3 Chojniczanka Chojnice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-1 HT 1-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
28/10/25 Poland Cup	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-1 HT 1-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
27/09/25 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	2-2 HT 1-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
12/06/25 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	5-3 HT 4-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
27/04/25 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	1-1 HT 0-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice
28/09/24 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-1 HT 0-0	OKS Swit Skolwin

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	7	5	1	1	15	8	16
2	GKS Tychy 71	7	4	3	0	11	5	15
3	Hutnik Krakow	7	4	2	1	15	8	14
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	7	4	2	1	15	10	14
5	Gornik Leczna	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	7	3	2	2	9	6	11
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	7	3	2	2	13	14	11
8	Olimpia Grudziadz	7	3	2	2	9	11	11
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
10	Lechia Zielona Góra	7	2	3	2	15	12	9
11	Avia Swidnik	7	3	0	4	10	13	9
12	Chojniczanka Chojnice	7	2	2	3	8	12	8
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	7	2	1	4	12	12	7
14	Legia Warsaw II	7	2	0	5	14	13	6
15	Slask Wroclaw II	7	2	0	5	11	13	6
16	Sokol Kleczew	7	1	3	3	7	18	6
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	7	1	2	4	8	15	5
18	Resovia Rzeszow	7	0	3	4	6	15	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OKS Swit Skolwin	Chojniczanka Chojnice
GKS Tychy 71	1-1 D	0-1 L
Znicz Pruszków	1-1 D	1-4 L
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-1 L	0-3 L
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-1 L	2-0 W
Slask Wroclaw II	4-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: OKS Swit Skolwin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OKS Swit Skolwin

WLLLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
30/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	7	6	L
25/07	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
30/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
23/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
17/05	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-2	4-3	11	6	W

Chojniczanka Chojnice

WWWLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
29/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
15/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	6	8	W
09/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
02/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	7	8	L
26/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
22/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-1	3-2	9	8	W
16/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chojniczanka Chojnice win (45%). Probabilities: OKS Swit Skolwin 30%, draw 25%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 45%.

How many goals are expected in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model expects 3.2 goals (OKS Swit Skolwin 1.42 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.78), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.