Football · Poland II Liga · 06/09, 12:00

Prediction: Slask Wroclaw II vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Slask Wroclaw II · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Slask Wroclaw II1.72

Olimpia Grudziadz1.94

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Slask Wroclaw II Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Slask Wroclaw II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWLLL

Olimpia Grudziadz 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Slask Wroclaw II 3–1 Olimpia Grudziadz (4 last)

Slask Wroclaw II1-0Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz3-2Slask Wroclaw II
Olimpia Grudziadz2-4Slask Wroclaw II
Slask Wroclaw II2-1Olimpia Grudziadz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw II 1495 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1536

	Slask Wroclaw II	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1495 vs 1536).
H2H favours Slask Wroclaw II: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slask Wroclaw II	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:42 +1’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw II 3–0–1 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Poland II Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	1-0 HT 1-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
24/08/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	3-2 HT 2-0	Slask Wroclaw II
23/05/21 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-4 HT 0-2	Slask Wroclaw II
02/12/20 Poland II Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	2-1 HT 1-1	Olimpia Grudziadz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	6	4	2	0	13	4	14
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
3	Znicz Pruszków	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	GKS Tychy 71	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	6	3	2	1	8	4	11
6	Gornik Leczna	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	6	2	3	1	14	8	9
8	Avia Swidnik	6	3	0	3	10	12	9
9	Podhale Nowy Targ	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	6	2	2	2	8	11	8
11	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	6	2	1	3	8	8	7
12	Chojniczanka Chojnice	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	Legia Warsaw II	6	2	0	4	13	11	6
14	Stal Stalowa Wola	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
15	Slask Wroclaw II	6	2	0	4	11	12	6
16	Sokol Kleczew	6	1	3	2	7	14	6
17	Resovia Rzeszow	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	6	0	2	4	4	14	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slask Wroclaw II	Olimpia Grudziadz
GKS Tychy 71	0-3 L	1-1 D
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-2 L	2-2 D
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3 L	1-3 L
OKS Swit Skolwin	3-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slask Wroclaw II

WWLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
23/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
15/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
09/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
01/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	3-0	5-1	3	1	W
25/07	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	2	6	L
23/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
17/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-4	1	6	L
09/05	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
01/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W

Olimpia Grudziadz

DWWDWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
26/07	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	1-4	7	5	L
30/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
24/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
17/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
09/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw II vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Grudziadz win (42%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw II 34%, draw 24%, Olimpia Grudziadz 42%.

How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw II vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Slask Wroclaw II 1.72 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.94), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw II vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.