Football · Poland II Liga · 28/08, 20:30

Prediction: Resovia Rzeszow vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Team pages: Resovia Rzeszow · Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Resovia Rzeszow1.16

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.51

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Resovia Rzeszow Draw Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Resovia Rzeszow 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLLLDD

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDWLWD

Head-to-head

Resovia Rzeszow 1–4–1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz (6 last)

Sandecja Nowy Sacz2-2Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow0-2Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-1Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow0-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz0-0Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow4-3Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resovia Rzeszow 1457 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1523

	Resovia Rzeszow	Draw	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Our model	28%	28%	44%
Market	28%	28%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandecja Nowy Sacz (rating 1457 vs 1523).
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resovia Rzeszow	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.1	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.25

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.35 ★
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:32 +2’	2.88	3.30	2.10
00:55 +3’	3.20▲	3.25▼	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:56 +1’	3.35	3.16	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resovia Rzeszow 1–4–1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-2 HT 0-2	Resovia Rzeszow
21/09/25 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	0-2 HT 0-1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
20/02/23 Poland I Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-1 HT 1-0	Resovia Rzeszow
29/07/22 Poland I Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	0-0 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
14/04/22 Poland I Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-0 HT 0-0	Resovia Rzeszow
05/02/22 Europe Friendlies	Resovia Rzeszow	4-3 HT 4-2	Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
2	GKS Tychy 71	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
3	Znicz Pruszków	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
5	Avia Swidnik	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
7	Olimpia Grudziadz	5	2	2	1	7	8	8
8	Gornik Leczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
10	Legia Warsaw II	5	2	0	3	12	7	6
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	5	1	3	1	11	7	6
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
13	Slask Wroclaw II	5	2	0	3	9	9	6
14	Chojniczanka Chojnice	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
15	Podhale Nowy Targ	5	1	2	2	8	12	5
16	Sokol Kleczew	5	1	2	2	6	13	5
17	Resovia Rzeszow	5	0	2	3	4	10	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	5	0	1	4	3	13	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resovia Rzeszow	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Warta Poznan	2-2 D	0-0 D
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Resovia Rzeszow (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resovia Rzeszow

LLDDDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
01/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-3	1-5	7	1	L
24/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
30/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	8	9	D
23/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	7	12	D
15/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
10/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
01/05	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	9	3	L

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

DLWWLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
15/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	11	0	L
02/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	1	8	W
25/07	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
06/06	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
30/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
23/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	5-2	5	5	W
17/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-3	1-3	8	5	L
10/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resovia Rzeszow vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (44%). Probabilities: Resovia Rzeszow 28%, draw 28%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 44%.

How many goals are expected in Resovia Rzeszow vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Resovia Rzeszow 1.16 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Resovia Rzeszow vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.