Football · Poland II Liga · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: Hutnik Krakow vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Team pages: Hutnik Krakow · Stal Stalowa Wola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Hutnik Krakow1.41

Stal Stalowa Wola1.18

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Hutnik Krakow Draw Stal Stalowa Wola

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hutnik Krakow 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDWWWD

Stal Stalowa Wola 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Hutnik Krakow 0–2–2 Stal Stalowa Wola (4 last)

Hutnik Krakow0-1Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola2-2Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow1-1Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola2-1Hutnik Krakow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hutnik Krakow 1539 · Stal Stalowa Wola 1508

	Hutnik Krakow	Draw	Stal Stalowa Wola
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stal Stalowa Wola: 2-2-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hutnik Krakow	Stal Stalowa Wola
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.4	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.22
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	3.30 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.02 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +7’	1.95	3.40	3.30
15:18 +35’	2.15▲	3.30▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +3’	2.22	3.24	3.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hutnik Krakow 0–2–2 Stal Stalowa Wola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	0-1 HT 0-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
14/11/25 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-2 HT 1-1	Hutnik Krakow
24/03/24 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-1 HT 0-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
10/09/23 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-1 HT 1-1	Hutnik Krakow

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
2	GKS Tychy 71	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
3	Znicz Pruszków	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
5	Avia Swidnik	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
7	Olimpia Grudziadz	5	2	2	1	7	8	8
8	Gornik Leczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
10	Legia Warsaw II	5	2	0	3	12	7	6
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	5	1	3	1	11	7	6
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
13	Slask Wroclaw II	5	2	0	3	9	9	6
14	Chojniczanka Chojnice	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
15	Podhale Nowy Targ	5	1	2	2	8	12	5
16	Sokol Kleczew	5	1	2	2	6	13	5
17	Resovia Rzeszow	5	0	2	3	4	10	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	5	0	1	4	3	13	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hutnik Krakow	Stal Stalowa Wola
Legia Warsaw II	2-0 W	2-0 W
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hutnik Krakow (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hutnik Krakow

LWWDLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
16/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
08/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	5-2	4	9	W
01/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	10	6	W
25/07	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
17/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	13	9	W
03/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Stal Stalowa Wola

DDWDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
16/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
31/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/07	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/05	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
08/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/04	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
24/04	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	10	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hutnik Krakow vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hutnik Krakow win (41%). Probabilities: Hutnik Krakow 41%, draw 28%, Stal Stalowa Wola 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hutnik Krakow vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Hutnik Krakow 1.41 · Stal Stalowa Wola 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hutnik Krakow vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.